In response to:

Lies, Darned Lies, and Polls

jkash1776 Wrote: Nov 03, 2012 7:31 AM
Web. People refusing to answer polls. People afraid to answer against O Record crowds for Romney Media news actually recommending Romney. I see by your credentials that you are allowed on several conservative venues but the factors that make this election so different technologically and ideologically make you appear very disingenuous, even a shill.

How accurate are the polls? Is there one gold standard out there? Are they all biased and skewed tools of partisan media?

For my money, the most reliable polling data is the Real Clear Politics polling average.

In 2008, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted Barack Obama to defeat John McCain by 7.6 points. Obama won by 7.3 points. In 2004, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted George W. Bush to defeat John Kerry by 1.5 points. Bush won the election by 1.5 points.

That’s called nailing it.

Worth noting is which...