In response to:

CNN Poll of Swing States: Romney 51, Obama 43

jim39 Wrote: Aug 18, 2012 8:03 PM
Let's say that Obama wins the popular vote - mostly as a result of illegal and dead voters casting their ballots (or having them cast for them.) I don't believe it will go that way, but let's presume. Let's say that Obama loses the Electoral College vote. Does anyone think he'll go away? No; he won't. He'll fabricate reasons that he should stay, and will precipitate a national crisis. And we will have a civil war, and the issue will be resolved militarily. This is the best reason to fight now, to fight hard and to fight to ensure that Comrade Obama is soundly defeated, in a way that is so certain that the dead of an entire century could not rise and change the outcome!

There's lots of contradictory polling floating around today, so let's try to unpack some of it.  We'll begin with the 'battleground' numbers teased in the headline:
 

President Obama remains marginally ahead of Mitt Romney in a new national CNN/ORC International poll released on Monday, although Romney leads Obama in the 15 states identified by the network as battleground states. Obama leads Romney nationally, 49 percent to 46 percent, with 4 percent of those surveyed saying they would vote for another candidate or neither candidate. That is inside the poll's margin of error, and it is...