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For Dems to Win House, Obama Must Rise in Polls

Jesse80 Wrote: Feb 18, 2013 6:16 AM

MIchael , there is no way approval goes much above where it is now and wil likely fall. The nation is DEEPLY divided. The only time I sensed division this deep was as a boy during the Vietnam era. Obama's policies are also on an unsustainable track. They are bound to lose luster as they actually begin to take noticable effect. Honest D's have to be concerned. GOP suicide is their best shot which is why they are doing their best to encourage it. You hearing me Tea Party?

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Rich L. Wrote: Feb 18, 2013 4:46 PM

The zero's approval rating will have nothing to do with the elections. That is not how election fraud works. The MSM will bring every dirty trick in the book against all conservative candidates including outright lies that won't be debunked until the damage has been done. The sheeple are too ignorant and do not have enough access to the truth and will blame Repubs and conservatives for all that is going bad in their lives and that will be the end of freedom in the world.

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Mark1369 Wrote: Feb 18, 2013 11:09 AM

As a Tea Party member I am upset that some politicians run as conservatives on balanced budget, restricted Constitutional gov't and secure borders but they are really running on social issues which isn't the goals of the Tea Party.
Don't let religious conservatives confuse you that they are the Tea Party. I hope that the religious conservatives see that they can't get all they desire in one election. We need to get conservatives to see that until we get the economy moving we won't get anything changed that needs to be changed.

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RedRum Wrote: Feb 18, 2013 10:17 AM

I agree. It could be likely that Obama is at a "high-point" for his 2nd term popularity - hence the efforts to quickly get gun control, immigration reform, stimulus spending, cap-and-trade and other liberal wish list items done so soon. Sure, Reagan was very popular in 1986, but the GOP did lose control of the Senate that year. Clinton's popularity equalled no Senate gains and only a handful of House gains in '98. We also know that Presidential unpopularity must also be ginned-up (look at the machine Dems unleashed on Bush in 2005), and the GOP and its allies must do the same to Obama and Congressional Dems. I think the biggest detriment to Dems (besides Obama) is the prospect of Nancy Pelosi returning as Speaker.

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For Dems to Win House, Obama Must Rise in Polls

Barack Obama has said that he wants to help Democrats win back a majority in the House of Representatives. He says he looks forward to Nancy Pelosi being speaker again.

If he does work hard to elect House Democrats, it will be a change from 2010 and 2012, when he didn't do much at all for them.

But let's say he does. What are the chances of success?

Certainly not zero. Democrats need to gain 17 seats to win a House majority of 218. That's fewer than the number of seats that changed party in 2006, 2008 and 2010.

And let's...