In response to:

Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample

JB in MS Wrote: Oct 31, 2012 3:42 PM
We'll know - if they release jobs numbers on Fri, as scheduled, it will be because they favor Obama. If they don't, and hold them until after election day "because of the storm", as threatened, it will be because they are a nail in Obama's electoral coffin. If no jobs numbers on Fri, everyone should know how bad they are and vote Romney/Ryan over the Worst President Ever, the Failure Obama! Oh hell, you should vote R & R anyway, the Big Zero had his chance, and totally failed!

Behold, Franklin and Marshall's new poll of Pennsylvania:
 


Before we get to the internals, notice the basic trend line.  This month, Mitt Romney broke into the mid-40s, while Obama dropped back into in the upper 40s.  Remember a political rule of thumb: An incumbent with universal name recognition who is polling below 50 percent is typically seen as vulnerable. Now, a slightly deeper dive.  Mitt Romney leads independents by 16 points in this poll, 48/32, with 10 percent undecided.  If the Republican ticket looks well-positioned to...