In response to:

CNN Poll of Swing States: Romney 51, Obama 43

Jason709 Wrote: Jul 02, 2012 9:34 PM
This is before the Romney boos with V.P. pick and convention bounce. Obama is toast. I hope Romney picks Paul Ryan and makes this election about tackling big issues instead of Class Warfare.

There's lots of contradictory polling floating around today, so let's try to unpack some of it.  We'll begin with the 'battleground' numbers teased in the headline:
 

President Obama remains marginally ahead of Mitt Romney in a new national CNN/ORC International poll released on Monday, although Romney leads Obama in the 15 states identified by the network as battleground states. Obama leads Romney nationally, 49 percent to 46 percent, with 4 percent of those surveyed saying they would vote for another candidate or neither candidate. That is inside the poll's margin of error, and it is...