In response to:

4 Reasons To Believe That Mitt Will Win The Election Next Week

Jack2894 Wrote: Nov 02, 2012 3:11 PM
ACtually, if you go to, say, a huffington post, you get some actual analysis of reality, including a number of articles questioning whether Obama will win. But even there, the articles are about what is happening, not an endless stream of predictions as to who will win.

In 2008, most knowledgeable observers on both sides of the aisle thought that Barack Obama was going to win the election against John McCain handily. In fact, out of the 15 big name pollsters, bloggers, and columnists who called the election beforehand with some specificity, 14 called it for Obama and 13 predicted he'd win in a walk with more than 300 electoral votes.

This year there has been a lot more disagreement because of discrepancies in the polling data. Long story short, the state polls and national polls don't match up. Moreover, Gallup and Rasmussen seem to...