In response to:

Lies, Darned Lies, and Polls

HistoryLover Wrote: Nov 03, 2012 10:31 AM
I took your advice and looked at that website. Never saw it before and I found it was enough to make me vomit. It is a disgusting pile of lies. Perhaps the best example I have ever seen of gross media bias directed at the half of the population that is below the median IQ.

How accurate are the polls? Is there one gold standard out there? Are they all biased and skewed tools of partisan media?

For my money, the most reliable polling data is the Real Clear Politics polling average.

In 2008, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted Barack Obama to defeat John McCain by 7.6 points. Obama won by 7.3 points. In 2004, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted George W. Bush to defeat John Kerry by 1.5 points. Bush won the election by 1.5 points.

That’s called nailing it.

Worth noting is which...