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Analysis: Four More Years

gbertagnolli Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:25 AM
It's over folks. If the Republican party can't beat Obama, they can't beat anyone. The "Takers" now outnumber the "Makers". All we can do now is hang on for the spiral downward. I hold out hope that conservatives realize the Republican party no longer represents them and the Libertarian party is more up their ally. But, I am not holding my breath.

A few stray thoughts and observations in the aftermath of the 2012 election -- on substance, process, and tactics:

(1) The polls were broadly right, both at the state and national levels -- a dichotomy that I believed to be unlikely in the extreme as recently as yesterday morning.  The electorate ended up being D+6, nearly on par with 2008, and six points better than the 2010 midterms.  I was wrong about this, as were a good number of other observers.  The 2012 party ID figures from Gallup and Rasmussen upon which my assumptions were based were...

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