After a few weeks spent tracking down and questioning pollsters and the reporters of polls, I can assure the reader that pollsters are the modern-day alchemists. They promise to turn numbers into predictive gold. We'd all like to believe these magical powers exist, but we shouldn't. The pollsters of 2012 just don't know who is going to win in November any more than did the pollsters of 1980 know that Ronald Reagan was headed towards a landslide in that late-breaking year.
re:"But none of these beliefs are good journalistic practice." No offense Hugh, but you're the worst person in the world to be judging journalistic practice. Remember when you predicted a Santorum victory the night he lost by double digits? Or when you predicted a McCain victory in the days before the 2008 election? Or when you wrote Painting the Map Red before one of the biggest routs in republican history? This latest pollster thing you're on shows you're incapable of learning from your mistakes. It's a trait that's largely shared by your party and one of the main reasons President Obama will be reelected.
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