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Analysis: Four More Years

downtherabbithole Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 12:34 PM
Now that Obama has prevailed, it will send a message that a failed incumbent can run an almost exclusively slash-and-burn campaign, offer no real solutions or big ideas for a second term...and win. What a dreadful precedent that would set. Since enough of our country thinks obama is the better choice, we've got far greater problems than obama. He is a symptom of our disease, not the cause of it.
bonziiii Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 12:39 PM
elections are no longer about serious issues, facts, or records. it has become a full fledged popularity contest of extremely uniformed voters.
downtherabbithole Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 12:44 PM
"unitormed voters"? . .meaning union voters or......should that have been uninformed voters?

A few stray thoughts and observations in the aftermath of the 2012 election -- on substance, process, and tactics:

(1) The polls were broadly right, both at the state and national levels -- a dichotomy that I believed to be unlikely in the extreme as recently as yesterday morning.  The electorate ended up being D+6, nearly on par with 2008, and six points better than the 2010 midterms.  I was wrong about this, as were a good number of other observers.  The 2012 party ID figures from Gallup and Rasmussen upon which my assumptions were based were...

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