In response to:

Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

DHE Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 1:28 PM
If the GOP wants to know what it is doing wrong, it should look at the TH headlines the last few weeks, like this one. Silver makes money b/c he is right. He can't afford to be wrong just to help a politician. I've been saying this for a year or so now here, so I will say it again. I blame the GOP loss squarely on conservatives. To a large extent their gay/atheist/American Muslim bashing and birther nonsense turned off too many people who'd otherwise have voted for them. And it would only required a small % to turn it around. The question is - do you start in again this next time, demanding orthodoxy so that people like Mitch Daniels and Chris Christie don't run? Probably. If you want to know who to blame for four more years - it's you.
Jack2894 Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 2:40 PM
Very very true, but you only list a small number of the problems the far right causes for Republicans.

In the last week or so, an intense kerfuffle broke out over the poll-prognosticator Nate Silver and his blog at the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight. Silver, a statistician, has been predicting a decisive Obama victory for a very long time, based on his very complicated statistical model, which very, very few of his fans or detractors understand.

On any given day, Silver might have announced that -- given the new polling data -- "the model" was now finding that the president had an 86.3 percent chance of winning. Not 86.4 percent, you fools. Not 86.1 percent, you Philistines. But 86.3 percent,...