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In response to:

Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

DevlinCarnate Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 2:11 AM
Since reading comprehension isn't your strong point; let's look at the last paragraph: " isn't it possible that the passionate defense Silver arouses from some people on the left has just a bit more to do with the comfort he dispenses than with the sophistication of his analysis" So Goldberg feels that since he can't understand math behind NS's predictions, no one else can either. If he can't understand the model, what does he attribute the high correlation between NS's predictions and actual events? If it's not "sophistication of analysis", i.e. math, what is it? Luck. Call it "comfort" if you want, but he's saying it's luck. People defend NS because he's right most of the time. You not liking what he's right about means "zero".
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