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Analysis: Four More Years

Democrats_Are_Smarter Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:33 AM
Obama won despite vows by Clownhall.com, Rove, and other wackos that Romney would win in a landslide. Obama won more impressively than in 2008. It's awesome! Saying I told you so gives me all sorts of satisfaction!
Brian953 Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:40 AM
Winning by a silmmer margin despite the advantage of incumbency hardly qualifies as "more impressive..."
DotWins Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:48 AM
He shouldn't have had a chance. That he did is the amazing thing. That he won broke all the rules.
Henry VIII Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:35 AM
When you get the bill for your satisfaction, waller in it.
Jim Oakland Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:35 AM
Why is the stock market crashing?
DotWins Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:34 AM
Pride goeth, but you can be happy about the win. I certainly am.

A few stray thoughts and observations in the aftermath of the 2012 election -- on substance, process, and tactics:

(1) The polls were broadly right, both at the state and national levels -- a dichotomy that I believed to be unlikely in the extreme as recently as yesterday morning.  The electorate ended up being D+6, nearly on par with 2008, and six points better than the 2010 midterms.  I was wrong about this, as were a good number of other observers.  The 2012 party ID figures from Gallup and Rasmussen upon which my assumptions were based were...

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