Even if the gay marriage debate favors Republicans at the moment, the shift towards support for gay marriage is happening rather quickly, even among devoutly religious young people. Social conservatives who believe it is important to keep the definition of marriage limited to one man and one woman cannot rest on their laurels and just assume the tide will shift back in their favor. The current arguments against SSM are not compelling to people who are young and/or irreligious. To my more socially conservative Republican friends, I’d say either you need to come up with more persuasive arguments fast or we need to be talking with people on the other side to arrange changes in the law that somehow satisfy both sides.
Conventional wisdom argues that opposition to gay marriage hurt Republicans in the recent election cycle, but nothing in the numbers suggests that this is true.
In the four liberal states where advocates for same-sex marriage won their victories, the redefinition of marriage proved much less popular than Barack Obama. In Maryland, for instance, Obama cruised to victory with 62 percent of the vote, but same-sex marriage squeaked by with just 52 percent. In other words, more than one out of six of Obama supporters voted with Republicans, not their fellow Democrats, against same sex marriage.
In Maryland, Maine, Washington...
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