In response to:

Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

Chris 3694 Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 3:39 AM
TownHall wouldn't let me post the above until I removed Mr. Morris's first name. Seriously. Richard Morris is who I meant. He's known by the nickname for Richard. Jeeze.

In the last week or so, an intense kerfuffle broke out over the poll-prognosticator Nate Silver and his blog at the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight. Silver, a statistician, has been predicting a decisive Obama victory for a very long time, based on his very complicated statistical model, which very, very few of his fans or detractors understand.

On any given day, Silver might have announced that -- given the new polling data -- "the model" was now finding that the president had an 86.3 percent chance of winning. Not 86.4 percent, you fools. Not 86.1 percent, you Philistines. But 86.3 percent,...