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In response to:

North Korea: A State of Contradiction

Cat3 Wrote: Apr 04, 2012 6:24 PM
P.S. Victor Cha is an EXCELLENT scholar on this issue. I plan to read this as soon as I have time. His book "Nuclear North Korea" with David Kang is incredibly impressive and well balanced (though I found Kang slightly more persuasive).
In response to:

North Korea: A State of Contradiction

Cat3 Wrote: Apr 04, 2012 6:21 PM
The Chinese and the South Koreans don't want to see the DPRK collapse either (though the ROK may change its mind if Pyongyang gets too threatening -- they haven't crossed that line yet, though. They're amazing at brinksmanship). The Chinese will never allow it though unless the North actually uses a nuclear weapon [and only then because they can't be seen to support such a move]. China doesn't want a U.S. ally with U.S. military bases on it's back doorstep, and they don't want to deal with the refugees. No matter what, the next U.S. president is going to have to manage with whatever the DPRK throws at us. At the very LEAST until our military is freed up and the American people have recovered enough to make such a war politically feasible.
In response to:

North Korea: A State of Contradiction

Cat3 Wrote: Apr 04, 2012 6:18 PM
In 1994 the estimated death toll for an invasion of North Korea was about 500,000 in the first 90 days. Granted, only about 50,000 of those casualties were American, but put that in perspective of the 10 year long war in Afghanistan. America has better military capabilities now, but the DPRK has better missile systems and a few nukes. If they feel it's an existential threat (which it would be) I have no doubt the Kim regime would try to nuke Seoul. Taking out their nukes in the first strike isn't a 100% garauntee because we don't know where they keep everything. This is a country with underground storage systems so we'd have to put a nuke on a drill to do any damage anyway. My point: we can't force them to do ANYTHING.
In response to:

North Korea: A State of Contradiction

Cat3 Wrote: Apr 04, 2012 5:59 PM
I'm not ENTIRELY sure how that's germane to the subject at hand but please remember: The Founding Fathers also rejected the idea of maintaining a standing army and most of them thought slavery was a pretty good idea. They weren't exactly perfect and the world has evolved tremendously since 1775. You think we'd have such awesome trade agreements if we didn't have an army to give us some leverage? Please. The great powers are great because they have strong militaries. There are other important factors, of course, but that is an essential element of any strong global actor.
In response to:

North Korea: A State of Contradiction

Cat3 Wrote: Apr 04, 2012 5:54 PM
Please stop comparing people you don't like to the Nazis. It's essentially dehumanizing anyone who has a political ideology that differs from yours - or at the very least saying "It's OK to hate these people because they're evil." It's wrong when the right does it and it's wrong when the left does it. It also trivializes the actual victims of the Third Reich: "Your whole family was worked to death in a Nazi slave labor camp? That's EXACTLY like not allowing gay marriage/ forcing insurance companies to cover birth control pills!"
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