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Nate Silver’s Model vs. “The Morris Law”

Bruce2397 Wrote: Nov 06, 2012 9:27 AM
This is the talking point of someone who is planning to get back into that painful crouching position for the next four years, aggrieved and senselessly angry, bitter and clingy...

Nate Silver has pumped vast quantities of polls, surveys, and other data into his election model. Dick Morris has one theory and a gut feel for the race. The two election prognosticators could not be farther apart in their methodology or their projected outcomes. Silver predicts a close, but very likely victory for President Obama. Morris projects a win for Romney that exceeds Republicans’ wildest expectations.

Silver’s model has been very successful in its short lifespan. It includes poll data, economic data such as the stock market and unemployment numbers, and demographic information.

Recently, conservatives have been angered...