It has been my contention for the past decade that when it comes to politics, as Florida goes, so goes the nation.
Think about the 2008 presidential election. First, following the CNN-YouTube debate, the last major Republican debate to be held before the Iowa caucus, our firm polled Floridians for the Florida Chamber of Commerce. We asked respondents who won the debate. A then-unknown candidate was the clear winner, and the boost he received in Florida gave Mike Huckabee a win in Iowa just over a month later.

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Small State Senate Race in Florida May Explain Entire Future of National GOP
Check out this Rasmussen poll:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/gen eral_politics/august_2009/republican_voters_say_gop_reps_in _congress_still_out_of_touch
"Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republican voters say their party’s representatives in Congress have lost touch with GOP voters nationwide over the past several years.
"Most Republican voters (55%) say that the average Republican in Congress is more liberal than the average Republican voter. Twenty-four percent (24%) say the average Republican in Congress...