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Analysis: Four More Years

Brent150 Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 6:01 PM

I've often thought a candidate could easily win election by running a few ads that say, "My campaign advisors wanted me to run a barrage of negative ads against my opponent, to tell you how terrible and scary he/she is. Instead of spending all that money to tear someone apart, I'm directing my campaign to donate what we would have spent to [x] charity. I think the voters in my district/state etc, are smart enough to know whether they want to vote for me or my opponent, and don't need an ad to tell them what to do."

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Analysis: Four More Years

A few stray thoughts and observations in the aftermath of the 2012 election -- on substance, process, and tactics:

(1) The polls were broadly right, both at the state and national levels -- a dichotomy that I believed to be unlikely in the extreme as recently as yesterday morning. The electorate ended up being D+6, nearly on par with 2008, and six points better than the 2010 midterms. I was wrong about this, as were a good number of other observers. The 2012 party ID figures from Gallup and Rasmussen upon which my assumptions were based were...

Related Tags: 2012 Election Mitt Romney Barack Obama