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Analysis: Four More Years

bonziiii Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 12:36 PM
agreed. you know we fought to avoid it but now that's its here, let the lid blow off of it and let everyone sleep in the bed they have made for themselves

A few stray thoughts and observations in the aftermath of the 2012 election -- on substance, process, and tactics:

(1) The polls were broadly right, both at the state and national levels -- a dichotomy that I believed to be unlikely in the extreme as recently as yesterday morning.  The electorate ended up being D+6, nearly on par with 2008, and six points better than the 2010 midterms.  I was wrong about this, as were a good number of other observers.  The 2012 party ID figures from Gallup and Rasmussen upon which my assumptions were based were...

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