After a few weeks spent tracking down and questioning pollsters and the reporters of polls, I can assure the reader that pollsters are the modern-day alchemists. They promise to turn numbers into predictive gold. We'd all like to believe these magical powers exist, but we shouldn't. The pollsters of 2012 just don't know who is going to win in November any more than did the pollsters of 1980 know that Ronald Reagan was headed towards a landslide in that late-breaking year.
HISTORICAL EFFECT OF MSM BIASING POLLS: None, or it may actually hurt them. The best place to look at MSM biasing of polling is the NYTimes polling of the Reagan/Carter race. Prior to the election, NYTimes had Carter ahead in most battleground states. Result, he was beaten, badly. So does the biasing of MSM polling have a "self-fulfilling prophecy" effect? Apparently not. As a matter of fact, due to the MSM credibility boomerang, it may actually hurt the Democrats chances by: - pissing off Republicans and Independents. - making Democrats overconfident. No one has every won the White House without taking over 50% of the Independent vote.
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