In response to:

Lies, Darned Lies, and Polls

BK24 Wrote: Nov 03, 2012 10:57 AM
No one can force us to take them seriously. No one can force us to pay them any mind at all. It's like television - if there's nothing good on, turn it off. As long as we're still a capitalist society, that's the best way the citizen can stand up and say no more, we demand better.

How accurate are the polls? Is there one gold standard out there? Are they all biased and skewed tools of partisan media?

For my money, the most reliable polling data is the Real Clear Politics polling average.

In 2008, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted Barack Obama to defeat John McCain by 7.6 points. Obama won by 7.3 points. In 2004, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted George W. Bush to defeat John Kerry by 1.5 points. Bush won the election by 1.5 points.

That’s called nailing it.

Worth noting is which...