In response to:

The Particulars of Polls

Bill2411 Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 10:13 AM
Mr. Barone, while I might appreciate your "sensitive" approach to try to balance this subject, there is an almost inescapable reality with the polling FRAUD... Yes, I call it fraud for a very simple reason: Since roughly 1980 the polls have *almost* universally, and consistently, favored Democrats over Republicans. Certainly there are a few exceptions but on balance, and on the whole, they consistently and routinely favor Democrats. That is NOT chance anymore. No matter what criteria is being used it is consistently favoring Democrats. If they haven't figured out why after 30+ years, OR if they haven't adjusted for it, then it is plainly FRAUD! So please, I don't need any "schooling" to know they polls are ridiculously skewed.
As a recovering pollster (I worked for Democratic pollster Peter Hart from 1974 to 1981), let me weigh in on the controversy over whether the polls are accurate. Many conservatives are claiming that multiple polls have overly Democratic samples, and some charge that media pollsters are trying to discourage Republican voters.

First, some points about the limits of polls. Random sample polling is an imprecise instrument. There's an error margin of 3 or 4 percent, and polling theory tells us that one out of 20 polls is wrong, with results outside the margin of error. Sometimes it's easy to spot such an...