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Not Too Much Clout

bdogslo Wrote: Dec 02, 2012 12:28 PM
Sunday, December 02, 2012 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 56% of Likely Voters at least somewhat approve of President Obama's job performance. Forty-four percent (44%) at least somewhat disapprove. This is the president’s highest approval rating since being reelected and the highest since the earliest days of his time in office (see trends). Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Democrats approve, while 85% of Republicans disapprove. Among those not affiliated with either major party, 55% approve and 43% disapprove. The president earns approval from 44% of white voters, 97% of black voters and 75% of other minority voters.

Generally, presidents enjoy a post-election approval rating bounce.  Nate Silver notes that since Harry Truman left office in 1952, the median bounce in approval has been 6.25%; the average has been 7%.  The bounce for Obama is the smallest since Truman (who actually lost a percentage point); he has enjoyed a bounce of only 2%.

As Silver points out, this may represent the hardened partisan divisions of the present day.  But it also makes it hard to argue that President Obama is sweeping into a new term on a resurgence of public approval -- and his inability to make that claim...