In response to:

Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample

anonymous Wrote: Nov 01, 2012 7:37 PM
Mitt's son Tagg is in Harrisburg, PA. tonight and just found out that Ryan will be at the Harrisburg airport on Saturday. Republican super pac is spending money in ads. Romney has a very good shot at winning Pa. if you look at the most recent polls and look inside the numbers. I have seen a lot more Romney signs, but I live in a republican area in south central Pa.

Behold, Franklin and Marshall's new poll of Pennsylvania:

Before we get to the internals, notice the basic trend line.  This month, Mitt Romney broke into the mid-40s, while Obama dropped back into in the upper 40s.  Remember a political rule of thumb: An incumbent with universal name recognition who is polling below 50 percent is typically seen as vulnerable. Now, a slightly deeper dive.  Mitt Romney leads independents by 16 points in this poll, 48/32, with 10 percent undecided.  If the Republican ticket looks well-positioned to...