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Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample

anonymous Wrote: Oct 31, 2012 7:50 PM
Has anyone else noticed that a lot of the most recent polls are having a bigger democrat sample Polls that used to be +4-7 D are now +8-13.The polls and the main stream media are trying to give the image that it is a close race or that Obama is winning in the swing states. I believe Romney will carry most of the swing states. Romney will win PA. He we win the election.

Behold, Franklin and Marshall's new poll of Pennsylvania:
 


Before we get to the internals, notice the basic trend line.  This month, Mitt Romney broke into the mid-40s, while Obama dropped back into in the upper 40s.  Remember a political rule of thumb: An incumbent with universal name recognition who is polling below 50 percent is typically seen as vulnerable. Now, a slightly deeper dive.  Mitt Romney leads independents by 16 points in this poll, 48/32, with 10 percent undecided.  If the Republican ticket looks well-positioned to...