Why Dems' Health Reform Hopes Are 'Hanging by a Thread'

That may sound fair, but such a provision encourages people to go without insurance until they actually need it. Why put out $5,000 on coverage you may never use if you can just pay $95 and pick up a policy down the line if you become ill?

These and other new insurance rules would increase the price of coverage for everyone -- not just the uninsured. Consider a 25-year old male living in Richmond, Virginia, for instance. Research using actual enrollee data from WellPoint, a large insurer, revealed that the major health insurance reforms under consideration would cause this hypothetical man's premiums to increase by 155 percent.

His peers in other states would experience similar increases. A healthy young man in Indianapolis, Indiana, would be saddled with a 178-percent premium hike. And a similarly situated man in Los Angeles, California, would see his premiums go up 106 percent. Families with children would also get hit with higher insurance bills. The same series of studies found that a two-child family living in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, would see its insurance tab more than double. A family with two kids in Richmond would face an insurance bill that's 82 percent higher. Other portions of the reform package would send health costs even higher. Medical device makers are being slapped with $20 billion in new taxes, and pharmaceutical companies are expected to kick in $80 billion to fund reform. These firms will undoubtedly raise their prices in order to offset the cost of these new government levies. And if insurers face steeper charges for their beneficiaries' drugs or medical devices, it's only natural that premiums will go up too.

Last week union leaders met with President Obama to complain about the Senate bill's 40 percent excise tax on "Cadillac" plans and how that would negatively affect their members. Now it appears that a tentative deal has been reached which would exempt unions' collective bargaining agreements from this tax. In order for the plan to be deficit neutral, revenue will have to be raised from other sources. A likely target will be the Medicare payroll tax, which was already going to be increased by 0.9 percent to 2.35 percent in order to fund the previously raised exemption. If accepted, the Medicare payroll tax will have to be raised even higher to cover the lost funding.

The give-and-take of the legislative process rarely produces perfect results, but the health reforms offered by congressional Democrats aren't just less-than-perfect -- they're worse than the status quo. Americans should hope that the thread from which the Democrats' reform package is hanging snaps soon.