Robert Knight

In Ohio “and other swing states – Wisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina, Florida – the evangelical vote is flying beneath the radar. It’s a lot of voters not to notice. In the 2008 presidential vote, they were 30% of the vote in Ohio, 31% in Iowa and 26% in Wisconsin.”

In Ohio, Burress’s group has sent voter guides to 10,000 churches, placed “family values” ads in 98 rural newspapers, and five additional ads in papers aimed at the state’s Amish population. Burress said that 39,000 Amish registered and voted for the first time in 2004, motivated by the marriage issue. Ohio pro-life activist Janet Porter’s homemade video, “Top 5 Reasons (Not to Vote for Obama),” has gone viral on YouTube, as has Virginia Bishop Earl W. Jackson’s video Exodus Now, which urges black Christians to leave the Democratic Party. Prominent black conservatives such as Herman Cain, William Owens, and Bishop Harry Jackson have been active in Ohio, and may cut into Mr. Obama’s total.

In 2004, rural and suburban voters in Ohio more than offset urban totals. George W. Bush won the state while losing five of the six biggest cities (Cleveland, Columbus, Dayton, Toledo and Akron-Canton), narrowly carrying only Cincinnati (Hamilton County). No matter how big the Democratic turnout, Burress says, “I tell our people, if you show up, you win. If you stay home, you lose. Three hundred thousand of our people who voted in 2004 did not vote in 2008. Obama would have lost by 10,000 votes.”

Catholic voters have also been trending toward the GOP. In the 2006 mid-term congressional election, 44 percent of Catholics nationally voted for Republican candidates, according to Pew Center exit polls. After four years of the Barack Obama/Harry Reid/Nancy Pelosi regime, 54 percent of Catholics voted for the GOP in 2010, a 10-point increase. And this was before the Obama Administration stiff-armed Catholic institutions with an order to pay for Sandra Fluke’s contraceptives.

White Protestants, who gave 61 percent of their votes nationally to the GOP in 2006, upped that to 69 percent in 2010. This time around, they’re no happier about the Democrats’ aggressively secular, redistributionist agenda.

Among Latinos, the GOP increased its share from 30 percent in 2006 to 38 percent nationally in 2010 and elected three statewide Latino candidates – New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval and Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio. It will be interesting to see how Mr. Obama’s unilateral amnesty program for illegal immigrants affects the Latino vote on Tuesday.

The only thing that might put a wrench in a Republican sweep would be massive vote fraud. Burress noted that a Columbus woman who tried early voting called him, furious. Election workers informed her that she had already voted. She told them that someone had committed fraud, and they let her fill out a provisional ballot.

In Columbus, two poll watchers told Human Events that Somali immigrants were being bused to the polls and told how to vote by Democrat handlers. In North Carolina and Ohio, some voters reported that when they chose Romney, an Obama vote was logged on the machine. Just a glitch, election officials said.

On the bright side, this may be the most closely watched election in U.S. history, with new voter ID laws, groups like checking registrations, and lawyers from both parties standing by to challenge fishy returns.

We could see a re-run of 2000 when the nation waited for weeks before Mr. Bush prevailed over Al Gore. But it may not come to that, if Ohio is a bellwether.

Mr. Burress said that his group was calling swing voters with seemingly odd results. “Why were we getting a two-to-one split for Romney? We thought at first we were calling the wrong people – but we weren’t.”

Robert Knight

Robert Knight is an author, senior fellow for the American Civil Rights Union and a frequent contributor to Townhall.