Rich Galen

If the Virginia ObamaCare site was down because it was overloaded (a bad thing), that meant a lot of Virginians were trying to join (a good thing).

Whether you think ObamaCare is a great thing or the end of western civ, here's a good rule:

Cheering for a U.S. government failure is a bad political tactic in America.

According to the Department of Health and Human Services, in Fiscal Year 2013 (the one that just ended on September 30):

"Gross current law spending on Medicare benefits will total $588 billion. Medicare will provide health insurance to 52 million individuals who are 65 or older, disabled, or have end-stage renal disease (ESRD)."

According to CMS (the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services) the number of Americans 65 or older will grow from the current 48.3 million to 54.2 million by 2020. An increase of 12 percent.

However, Medicare expenditures are expected to grow from $588 billion to $1.402 trillion in that same period. An increase of 138 percent.

Medicare is as embedded in the U.S. culture as much as Social Security (signed into law in 1935).

I have no idea what the future of ObamaCare will be. But, I know this: If Republicans want to change or dismantle it, they will have to hold onto the U.S. House and win control of the U.S. Senate in 2014, and elect a Republican President in 2016.

Fighting over a Continuing Resolution that will fund the government for less than three months in 2013 is not going to do it.

Rich Galen

Rich Galen has been a press secretary to Dan Quayle and Newt Gingrich. Rich Galen currently works as a journalist and writes at