All that spending by Obama has kept him in the game. According to the RealClearPolitics average of polling in 12 swing states, Obama has leads outside the margin of error in only Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Nevada, Romney leads in two (North Carolina and Missouri) and the rest are essentially tied such as Obama's 0.8 percent lead in Florida.
And that with a $68 MILLION dollar spending edge in those states.
Polling was another "bad news is no news" moment for the Obama campaign this week. The ABC/Washington Post poll showed the race tied at 47 percent. Of the polls used in calculating the RCP average over the past two weeks, Obama's lead is just 1.7 percent.
But, if you only use polls that were all or substantially in the field after last Friday's employment figures were announced that lead drops to 0.4 percent. And one of those five - the Reuters/Ipsos poll has Obama +6 which is an outlier among all recent polls.
To offset all this, President Obama reissued his call for raising taxes on "the wealthy." In Obama-land "wealthy" is defined as anyone making over $250,000 per year. That's a lot of money, but for a lot of voters - especially voters who run small businesses and who don't know how much they will have made until they close the books on December 31 each year - that increase might be the difference between hiring another employee next year and sending that salary to the IRS.
The Association of National Pundits immediately went on TV to remind viewers that the Republican-controlled House will never permit a vote on such a measure.
I'm not so sure.
If polling shows that a significant portion of voters see that call for raising taxes as more danger to a struggling economy, the GOP House leadership might just bring it to the floor and make Democrats vote on it.
That's what I'd do.
We're inside four months to go to the November elections. Look for more and more House and Senate Democrats to start running away from Obama - or at least running away from his policies - as the worry about saving their own seats takes precedence over helping Obama save his.
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