Rich Galen

"From coast to coast, universities that brim with liberal ideas and idealistic students won't be sending nearly as many voters to the polls on Nov. 2. And that's bad news for Democrats."

What I said.

The NY Times' Nate Silver took the Politico data and crunched the numbers to come up with this summary:

"So, what do we see? We see good news for Republicans - although not necessarily better news for them than is already implied by the polling."

The polling to which Silver refers has the GOP generic vote, according to RealClearPolitics.com at an average of +7.7 percent which includes a Newsweek poll showing Democrats ahead by three.

In fact, RCP predicts that if the election were held today the GOP would end up with 222 seats (218 needed for a majority), the Dems would have 177 seats with 36 still rated as toss-ups.

Even if Republicans were to lose all of the toss-up seats they would still win the majority. However, of those 36 toss-ups, 34 are currently held by Democrats meaning every toss-up won by a Republican is another two-seat swing in the House.

Republicans may not win them all, but they have the ball deep in the Democrats' end of the field.


Rich Galen

Rich Galen has been a press secretary to Dan Quayle and Newt Gingrich. Rich Galen currently works as a journalist and writes at Mullings.com.