After the usual preliminaries - weeks of infighting, mutual killings, colorful atrocities and general mayhem - Hamas has routed its rival Palestinian faction, Fatah, and now claims control of its own little state of horrors in an isolated Gaza.
Fatah in turn has taken refuge across the Israeli border on the West Bank, and begun hunting down Hamas types there. In short, the long-sought two-state "solution" to the Arab-Jewish conflict has become a three-state muddle, the "peace process" has produced its usual violent result, and the authority of Mahmoud Abbas' "Palestine Authority" has been limited to the West Bank - if his gunmen can hold it.In short, the first round of the Palestinians' civil war has ended in a draw with blood splattered everywhere, the spectators fleeing, and the ring cut in half.
Yet every crisis is also an opportunity. Fatah is making moderate noises again, as it does between violent intifadas, and the Israelis seem determined to at least pretend that they have a Partner for Peace - if only on the West Bank. The money and arms should soon be flowing to Fatahland from Israel and the West in hopes of creating a model there for Arab-Jewish harmony, or at least wary co-existence, while Gaza is left to stew in its own jihadist juices. Call it peace through quarantine.
The Israelis have tried withdrawing to safety before - with unhappy results. Their hasty withdrawal from Lebanon allowed Hezbollah, another terrorist outfit, to take root there and threaten both Lebanon's government and Israel's security. By last summer, missiles were landing regularly in the Galilee, a cross-border raid touched off a full-scale war, and Hezbollah's part of Beirut was reduced to smithereens while Katyushas landed in Haifa and all across northern Israel.
The same story repeated itself in Gaza after the Israelis pulled out of their settlements towns and villages there. Instead of bringing peace, missiles began falling on the Israeli town of Sderot. Once again an Israeli retreat had only brought the enemy closer.
The tactic of building a wall - excuse me, Security Barrier - around the Jewish state and retreating within its confines may have largely eliminated the suicide bombings that used to make life in Israel a recurring horror. But missiles can fly over walls. So this time the Israelis are hoping for the best form of security: peaceful neighbors. Beginning on the West Bank.