Pat Buchanan

California, spawning ground of the great anti-tax revolt that vaulted Ronald Reagan into the White House, appears pregnant with yet another populist rebellion. Hundreds of thousands of Californians have now signed petitions for an election to recall Gov. Gray Davis.

A decade ago, Chief Justice Rose Bird and two colleagues were recalled from the California Supreme Court for refusing to impose the death penalty. Yet, no governor has ever suffered that indignity, though 31 attempts have been made.

Why could Gray Davis become the first?

Because, with an approval rating at 27 percent, a majority of voters are now telling pollsters they would like to toss him out. Moreover, Davis faces a budget crisis. He must close a looming $38 billion deficit, which will require new cuts in state spending and new tax increases on top of this year's cuts and tax hikes. Worse for Davis, he is believed to have deceived voters in 2002 as to the depth of the looming budget crisis.

At first, the recall effort was dismissed as a project of full-mooners. The White House, which prefers to see Davis and his Democratic assembly stew in their own juice and California turn to the Republicans in revulsion in 2004, opposed the recall.

But the elites were ignored by the volunteers. Then, Rep. Darrell Issa, who wants to be elected governor the day Davis is recalled, put over $500,000 into the campaign. Then Robert Novak went out to California to learn that the train was out of control and, like "OId 97," picking up steam coming down the mountain.

Which opens up this scenario.

If the volunteers get sufficient signatures, 900,000 or so, by mid-July, with a few hundred thousand to spare in case some signatures are invalidated, the recall of Davis goes onto a September ballot, with a high likelihood that he will be canned.

Why? Not only will the anti-Davis forces, already a majority, vote to throw him out, so, too, will all the supporters of every candidate who, by then, will have put his or her name on the ballot to succeed Davis. And as the requirements to get on the ballot are minimal, there will be a host of candidates, all calling for Davis' ouster. Who would succeed Davis?

The strongest candidate in a Golden State that has become reliably Democratic is Dianne Feinstein. If the popular senator agrees to run, Davis is cooked and Feinstein will almost surely be governor of California by October.

Pat Buchanan

Pat Buchanan is a founding editor of The American Conservative magazine, and the author of many books including State of Emergency: The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America .
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