Cannon to the right of them, Cannon to the left of them ... Into the jaws of Death, Into the mouth of Hell Rode the Six Hundred
--The Charge of the Light Brigade -- Alfred, Lord Tennyson
Almost exactly 159 years ago, a British light cavalry brigade rode directly into Russian guns at the battle of Balaclava in the Crimean War. Tennyson was available to immortalize the valor of the soldiers who rode bravely to their deaths ("theirs was not to reason why"). How stirring, for the survivors.
The Light Brigade was actually meant to harry a retreating Russian artillery battery. But "someone had blundered" and the order was given that the six hundred ride directly into a valley surrounded by Russian guns.
Good generals are responsible for choosing their battles wisely. In politics, as in war, the goal should be victory, not glorious (or "principled") defeat.
The Republicans' blunder is to risk so much in a short-term public relations battle fought mainly through a medium that Democrats control -- the press. With a few exceptions, the American press is the Democrats' artillery in any battle with Republicans.
You may say, in that case, why should Republicans ever take on the Democrats? Won't the press always create a hopelessly uneven playing field?
Yes, but a shutdown showdown is almost uniquely sensitive to short-term public perceptions. Each side stakes out its position and then waits for public pressure to force the other to blink.
Mark Halperin of Time magazine offered a frank assessment of the Obama team's calculation: "Here what's the White House and to some extent the Hill is going to monitor. One is how the press covers the shutdown and does it just go back into the '90s mode of saying 'obstructionist Republicans are causing a shutdown and people, real people are hurting?' And the White House is assuming that's going to happen."
Good assumption. The Media Research Center analyzed the coverage of the big three TV networks in the two weeks prior to the shutdown. Of 25 stories that assigned blame for the government closure, 21 blamed Republicans and the "crazed" tea party wing, and four blamed both parties. CBS's Bob Schieffer explained to viewers that the crisis was provoked by "ultra-conservatives ... We're headed to a shutdown unless the moderates in the House revolt."