Matt Towery

Then Gallup released a survey showing that voters prefer, by 48 percent to 44 percent, that the next Congress be controlled by the Republicans. That suggests to me that the next surveys by organizations such as Pew and AP-GFK should be "weighted" to reflect a much more even political split nationally than their previous polls apparently have.

In other words, if the national polling on this health care turkey were to be done in a balanced and straightforward way, we'd likely find that this supposed shining jewel of health care reform might be a temporary rush of serotonin for the White House and the congressional Democrats -- but it could mean political death warrants for those Democratic congressmen and -women that represent moderate districts. And that goes double for moderate Democratic U.S. senators if they vote for anything like the House bill.

The public remembers the arrogant misdeeds of the self-congratulatory political class, be the wrongdoers Democrat or Republican. In 1990, I watched President Bush 41 and the GOP commit political suicide. They passed a tax hike that seemed legitimate, even unavoidable. It wasn't, and Bush lost his re-election bid.

The Republicans also botched things in the mid-'80s. They revamped the federal tax code and ended tax benefits for owners of rental property. That cute maneuver sent most of the "Reagan Revolution" Senate class of 1980-81 back home in the '86 elections.

I find it utterly baffling that congressional Democrats in places like Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and other swing states don't recognize that their devotion to this health care reform mess likely will end their careers down the road. Moreover, they don't seem to realize how silly they look fighting over health care when most of the nation is paralyzed with fear about dinner table issues -- such as whether there will even be dinner on the table.

It's a cause of wonderment and a sight to behold.

Matt Towery

Matt Towery is a pollster, attorney, businessman and former elected official. He served as campaign strategist for Congressional, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns. His latest book is Newsvesting: Use News and Opinion to Grow Your Personal Wealth. Follow him on Twitter @MattTowery