Matt Towery

I would argue that Israel's pursuit of Hezbollah in Lebanon, where the terrorists have established themselves, will have one of two results. Either Hezbollah will be completely dismantled, or Israelis will keep being murdered for years to come.

Second, the late professor suggested that a true crisis is a situation in which a lasting decision is inescapable. As an example, he cites the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.

I agree. With Cuba, there was the chance that one nation-state might have launched weapons without provocation. A crisis, indeed.

That's a fair corollary to the unprovoked attacks by Hezbollah on Israel. That non-nation-state Hezbollah is now launching missiles from the nation-state Lebanon unfortunately makes Lebanon a part of the crisis.

Third, Deutsch says the crisis must place at stake the values of at least one of the parties. This one does. Israel respects life and takes action only when provoked. Hezbollah takes innocent lives at random and without provocation.

Finally, according to Deutsch, the situation must not be a "chronic crisis." But therein is the fallacy of his definition. Unless a nation-state such as Israel chooses to treat a situation such as that with Hezbollah as exigent in nature, then the situation will by its very nature become chronic.

Let's face it. The United Nations, Western Europe and the world of international diplomacy demand that every situation be "managed." But does anyone really believe that United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan is an unbiased referee, given his immediate accusations against Israel following the loss of UN personnel several days ago? He's not.

The fact is that even the legendary Karl Deutsch said he didn't believe all conflicts should be "managed." His belief was that conflict was irrational if the point of contention could be resolved at some lesser cost -- hopefully, cooperation of some sort.

Sorry, folks. In this case, cooperation turns an emergency crisis into "a chronic one." And a chronic crisis is just what terrorists thrive on.

With all due deference to the great scholars such as Deutsch, whose writings I followed, I stand by my rather pedestrian declaration -- roll, Israel, roll.

Matt Towery

Matt Towery is a pollster, attorney, businessman and former elected official. He served as campaign strategist for Congressional, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns. His latest book is Newsvesting: Use News and Opinion to Grow Your Personal Wealth. Follow him on Twitter @MattTowery