The third dominating issue is gay marriage. The political massagers are desperately trying to find the most favorable language for framing the gay marriage question (favorable to gay marriage, I mean). They seem to have settled on asking Americans whether or not they want to "ban gay marriage." A recent Associated Press poll found that 52 percent of Americans support a law banning gay marriage. However, in the same poll, 53 percent oppose civil unions for gays. Taken at face value, this would mean Americans are actually more in favor of gay marriage than domestic partnership benefits for gays.
But what it really represents is a confusing question. Do we want to impose new legal restrictions on homosexuality? Fifty-two percent of Americans say yes. Don't fool yourself, guys -- the proportion who oppose changing the definition of marriage is much, much higher.
How will this play out politically? Every single one of the Democratic presidential candidates is already on record supporting gay civil unions, which the majority of Americans oppose. No Democrat looks remotely credible, at this point, as an alternative to President Bush on terrorism.
Which leaves the energy crisis, plus the economic mess that is generated when the generators fail. The Dems had better hope President Bush and the GOP Congress blow it big time.
Maggie Gallagher is a nationally syndicated columnist, a leading voice in the new marriage movement and co-author of The Case for Marriage: Why Married People Are Happier, Healthier, and Better Off Financially.