Jonah Goldberg

Just days after the Asian tsunami on December 26, 2004, a dozen or so writers raised the subject of theodicy. Within weeks, scores of writers broached the subject. Theodicy, if you didn't know, is the branch of theology which tries to explain how a good God can allow evil to persist.

So far, according to a search of Lexis-Nexis, I'm the first to bring it up in the aftermath of the Katrina disaster. I'm pretty sure I won't be the last, and I'm positive I'll be among the least authoritative.

Indeed, I have no idea how to answer the question of how God can allow evil to exist, except to say that God's ways are mysterious; a world without evil wouldn't be the world; free will matters; and so on. It may be boilerplate, but it works for me and I really haven't read anybody who does much better.

But what I find fascinating is how so many people desperately want the culprit to be someone - or something - other than God or "Mother Nature."

A slew of partisans have already declared that George W. Bush is responsible for this disaster because of his policies on global warming and the Kyoto Treaty. Cindy Sheehan, with the sort of desperation that comes at the end of 15 minutes of fame, declared Bush was "heading to Louisiana to see the devastation that his environmental policies and his killing policies have caused."

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. blamed Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour for the devastation. "Now we are all learning what it's like to reap the whirlwind of fossil fuel dependence which Barbour and his cronies have encouraged," he said.

Even the environment minister of Germany joined the chorus of those who believe the "butterfly effect" of Bush's signature on the Kyoto treaty would have stopped Katrina.

On one level, I think all of this is partisan opportunism. Even a casual glimpse at the data provided by the National Weather Service (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml) shows that big hurricanes (categories 3, 4, and 5) haven't increased over the 20th century. But for years now, activists have exploited media coverage in order to make it seem like something scary is driving the rise in hurricanes. "Global warming = Worse hurricanes. George Bush just doesn't get it," blared a billboard in Florida during the run-up to the 2004 presidential election.

A great many people tried to pin the 2004 tsunami on global warming, too, even though that wasn't even theoretically possible (it was caused by a deep-sea earthquake). Tony Juniper, director of Friends of the Earth in Britain, spoke for many when he proclaimed, "Here again are yet more events in the real world that are consistent with climate change predictions."


Jonah Goldberg

Jonah Goldberg is editor-at-large of National Review Online,and the author of the book The Tyranny of Clichés. You can reach him via Twitter @JonahNRO.
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