In all the millions of words that have been spoken and written in
recent days about the threats of bio-terrorism and chemical weapons attacks,
two have been curiously absent: Arms control. This is particularly striking
since international agreements are in place that purport to ban completely
the development, production and stockpiling of all biological and chemical
weapons.
The complete -- and predicted -- failure of the 1972 Biological
Weapons Convention (BWC) and the 1993 Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) to
prevent the frightening threats we now face may have something of a silver
lining, however, provided the United States now makes a significant course
correction. Specifically, we must promptly bring to an end the era in
which inherently unverifiable agreements, forged with countries that
systematically fail to honor their commitments, are fatuously made pillars
of our national security.
To his credit, George W. Bush had made important strides in this
direction even before September 11th. Earlier this year, he declined to
join a very costly, yet utterly ineffectual, protocol to the Biological
Weapons Convention on the grounds that it would not actually make that
unworkable accord more verifiable. Although foreign governments, former
Clinton Administration officials and media elites endlessly cited this
decision as evidence of what they consider to be President Bush's deplorable
"unilateralism" in foreign policy, he was right to reject the BWC Protocol.
Its proposed on-site inspection regime would have compromised the
intellectual property of legitimate and cutting-edge American biotech and
pharmaceutical firms -- without assuring the ability to prove Russian or
Iraqi non-compliance, let alone what Osama bin Laden is doing with
biological weapons.
Interestingly, the BWC Verification Protocol was largely modeled
after a similar arrangement crafted during the administration of Mr. Bush's
father, as part of "41's" idee fixe about "banning chemical weapons from the
face of the earth." It is regrettable that none of those who drafted or
subsequently championed the Chemical Weapons Convention have had the good
grace to acknowledge the validity of its many critics in the U.S. Senate and
elsewhere: Any country and/or sub-national group that wishes to have
chemical weapons can have them without fear of being detected, let alone
punished, pursuant to the CWC.
Another fatally flawed arms control agreement will be in the news
this week as President Bush meets with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir
Putin, in Shanghai, China. Fortunately, the former has already put the
latter on notice: Mr. Bush is determined to use this bilateral meeting to
clear the way for the development and prompt deployment of U.S. missile
defenses by ending the obstacles imposed to such work by the 1972
Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty.
President Bush has recently been informed of an immediate example of
this problem. The Pentagon has advised him that, due to the constraints of
the ABM Treaty, sea-based radars aboard Aegis fleet air defense ships cannot
be used to monitor the next test of a ground-based anti-missile system.
As a result, all other things being equal, the United States will be
denied additional capabilities to garner valuable data from this $100
million experiment. It will also miss an opportunity to move forward with
promising sea-based missile defenses. All this in deference to a treaty
whose other party, the Soviet Union, was dismantled a decade ago; that was
massively violated by the USSR (a practice that continues in Russia today);
and that keeps us from having the kind of defense clearly needed in the 21st
Century. The Cold War is over, and so should be U.S. adherence to the ABM
Treaty.
The good news is that President Bush has already embarked upon a
course of action that promises to do more for arms control than any number
of additional treaties and protocols. The war on global terrorists and
their state-sponsors clearly anticipates changing, where necessary, the
latters' regimes.
As it happens, there is a perfect correlation between the nations
that are involved in harboring, training or otherwise supporting terrorist
organizations and those who are involved in the proliferation of weapons of
mass destruction. To the extent that the option of effecting regime change
is, in fact, exercised, the effect could be highly salutary both with
respect to the fights against terrorism and against the spread of dangerous
armaments.
Now, it is probably a waste of time to hope that advocates of
traditional arms control would recant their cherished illusions about
ordering the world through agreements with the likes of Saddam Hussein's
Iraq, Kim Jong Il's North Korea and the mullahs' Iran. To be sure, the
evidence of their mistakes have been much in evidence since the 11th of
September. But too many careers have been founded, too much intellectual
energy invested and too many institutions built for the purpose of promoting
such notions for the present respite from such nonsense to continue
indefinitely.
Still, President Bush should seize the moment. There will be no
time like the present -- when Americans are approving of his presidency to
an extent unprecedented in the history of polling and supporting by nearly
as overwhelming margins his determination to put terrorists out of business,
"dead or alive" -- for him to do two things: 1) Adopt a new, more practical
approach to arms control focusing on regime change. And 2) bring formally to
an end U.S. fealty to the defective, obsolete ABM Treaty, then realize the
earliest possible deployment of effective missile defenses as an essential
complement to Mr. Bush's much-needed Homeland Security program.