Erick Erickson

But gerrymandering has made a House landslide largely impossible at this point. Most all the Democrats who remain are in safely Democrat seats. The Republicans are in safe Republican seats. Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post recently noted there are only nine seats held by Democrats, where Mitt Romney won the popular vote in those congressional districts.

The real landslide for the Republicans could come at the state and local level. In 2010, the Republicans saw a historic shift in their direction in state, county and municipal elections around the country. Some estimates from 2010 were that the sweep of the GOP at all levels had not been seen since the late 1800s.

Seats at the state and local level are again in play. Gubernatorial seats won by the GOP in 2010 are in play again and Republicans are pretty confident they will hold them. Democrats are not as confident. A number of state legislative seats around the country that went for the Republicans in 2010 flipped back to the Democrats in 2012. Those seats could very easily flip back to the Republicans now.

Then there are states like Georgia and Texas. The Democrats have been waiting for those states to change racially and ethnically. In the past year, they thought 2014 would be the year those states finally turn purple. But with a disastrous gubernatorial candidate in Texas and a dysfunctional state party in Georgia, the Democrats may wait longer.

There will be no landslide at the federal level in 2014. But in the states may just see a seismic shift to the GOP.


Erick Erickson

Erick Erickson is the Editor-in-Chief of RedState.com. To find out more about Erick Erickson and read features by other Creators writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate Web page at www.creators.com.