Donald Lambro

Obama's declining numbers seem to suggest that the voters are buying into that argument, and the latest S&P warning only reinforces their belief that out-of-control spending and increasing government debt is at the core of the economy's continuing weakness.

The White House was especially shaken by Obama's declining support among independent voters, who had strongly backed him in 2008, but now 55 percent of them disapprove of the job he's doing, a near record level.

Equally ominous for president at this early stage in the two-year election cycle: In a hypothetical matchup with Mitt Romney, Obama edges out the former governor by a precarious 49 percent to 45 percent.

But as hard as the president tries to paint the economy as doing better, the bleak reality is that unemployment has shot up to over 9 percent in 2009 and 2010, and is still over 10 percent in many states like Oregon, South Carolina, Kentucky, California, Missouri, Florida, Rhode Island, Michigan and Georgia. Even in other states where unemployment was in the 9 percent or higher range, it still felt as if the recession wasn't over.

"For the first time in available data, more than half the whites without college degrees see the economy as deteriorating," the Post reported Tuesday.

Obama and his advisers had hoped to make the 2012 election all about his "win the future" policies on education, research, healthcare-reform implementation, improving the environment and sustainable green-energy biofuels.

But the economy remains weak and may be getting weaker under his stewardship. Many economic analysts have lowered their earlier quarterly growth forecasts to the high to mid 2 percent range as a result of $100-a-barrel oil and $4-a-gallon gas that is slowing down the nation's economic growth rate.

It is also fueling higher prices across the economy, and reigniting inflation fears. The Labor Department last week reported that prices rose by 0.5 percent in March, pushed up by 3.5 percent and 0.8 percent increases in energy and food prices.

"This is the fourth straight month of large gains in consumer prices," wrote University of Maryland economist Peter Morici in his latest analysis. "The U.S. economy is headed for stagflation," he warned.

With nearly eight in 10 saying that inflation is getting worse, and more than seven in 10 saying gas prices have resulted in financial hardship, Obama's growing economic problems are reaching critical mass and he is seen as doing nothing about them.

He can't blame his failed policies on George W. Bush anymore. The 4.6 percent and 5.8 percent unemployment rates in the last two years of Bush's presidency are looking pretty good at this point.

Donald Lambro

Donald Lambro is chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.