Donald Lambro

Hillary Clinton's negatives keep climbing, raising new questions about her electability and improving the prospects of her chief rivals for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination.

The New York senator's favorability ratings took a nosedive in mid-April, dropping from 58 percent in February to 45 percent, according to latest Gallup Poll. It was her lowest favorability score since 1993.

A 52 percent majority of the voters now say they have a negative view of her candidacy. That compares to her closest rival, Sen. Barack Obama, who was rated favorably by 52 to 27 percent.

Clinton still held on to her front-runner status in most polls last week, but pollsters and political analysts tell me she is losing the support of strategic blocs in her party's base, including women, liberals and independents, who feel she has waffled on withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq.

"The recent decline in her image appears to be broad based" among most key voter subgroups, Gallup said.

Even more troubling for her campaign, the Gallup poll of registered voters (taken April 13 to April 15) also showed Clinton losing her double-digit lead over Obama, who now trails her by a slim 5 percentage points in the survey (31 percent to 26 percent). In other polls, the two are virtually tied.

Veteran campaign pollsters, and many Democratic strategists, shocked by her weak numbers, no longer consider her the unbeatable front-runner.

"It's still early in the campaign and it's hard to bet against a Clinton, they're winners. However, the inevitability factor (in her candidacy) is no longer there," independent pollster John Zogby told me.

Zogby has seen similar clues in his own polling data in the first caucus and primary contests that will be held in January. What the latest numbers mean is that, in key states, "where the campaigns have begun in earnest, you have very competitive races and serious questions about Hillary's electability coming from Democrats."

A recent Zogby poll in South Carolina, the first Southern primary contest next year, showed her leading Obama 32 percent to 22 percent. "That's not particularly good," for someone with Clinton's broad name recognition, he said.

The Clinton campaign is privately concerned about her favorability poll scores, but publicly dismisses the Gallup numbers, playing up other polls that have shown her with much stronger leads. But Clinton spokesman Blake Zeff told me, "We are taking nothing for granted and will work hard for every vote."

Even so, her anemic head-to-head numbers in the latest Gallup survey, together with her rising negatives, dominated the backroom buzz in Democratic circles last week.


Donald Lambro

Donald Lambro is chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.