Donald Lambro

Drawing any broad conclusions or forecasts from this is a dangerous business, but there are more voters in Connecticut who are closer to the median income level than those among the wealthier voting blocs who heavily supported Lamont. While voter turnout in the primary was unexpectedly high, a majority of eligible voters did not participate, though many more no doubt will in the general election when Lieberman will be on the ballot as an independent candidate.

A largely unknown Republican will be on the ballot, too, but this race is now between just two people: Lamont and Lieberman who, by the way, is strongly supported by many Republicans, according to the Gallup Poll.

At the same time, a Quinnipiac University poll showed that Lieberman led Lamont among voters earning less than $30,000 by 49 percent to 47 percent, and among voters making between $30,000 and $50,000 by 49 to 45 percent. Lamont, on the other hand, led by nine points among people making more than this, while drawing the support of 60 percent of those earning more than $100,000. If Lieberman's advantage among lower income voters holds up, and more of them turn out Election Day as expected, he should beat Lamont in November.

These income numbers also tell us something about the political reach and clientele of the leftist netroot movement made up of MoveOn.org, and an army of angry antiwar bloggers such as Daily Kos, who fueled Lamont's insurgent candidacy.

Their much-ballyhooed political influence could well be miles wide but an inch-deep, activating well-educated, Internet-savvy voters but not the lower-to-median income masses who are too busy working to spend time surfing the Web and who still think Islamist terrorism poses a major threat to our country and our way of life.

Notably, Lamont trounces Lieberman among college-educated voters by more than 20 points, but Lieberman leads among noncollege voters.

Last week's reports of terrorist plots to blow up passenger planes will no doubt enlarge this issue in the voters' minds in the days to come to the GOP's benefit. And in Connecticut, I suspect, Lamont's "blame America first" pitch that the United States is "making the situation worse" in the war on terror will quickly lose its political appeal.


Donald Lambro

Donald Lambro is chief political correspondent for The Washington Times.