It will not be time for the faint-hearted. The conservatives seeking to block arbitrary expropriation of vast segments of our private sector will be accused of irresponsibility and worse. But every one of the elements of the confrontation agenda has one thing in common: The public agrees with the Republicans. On Obamacare, Medicare cuts, enforcement of the individual mandate, health care rationing, administrative imposition of carbon taxes, FCC controls over talk radio, card check and spending cuts rather than tax increases, Americans side with the GOP position against the Democratic/Obama agenda. Americans will support the Congress in the coming confrontations.
But if Republicans stray over the line of public opinion themselves by cutting Medicare or Social Security, they will lose. Americans oppose Medicare cuts. Check out Hillarycare in 1994, Newt Gingrich's budget cuts in 1996 and Obamacare in 2010 to see how strongly they feel about it. And they oppose changes in Social Security. See the defeat of the George W. Bush agenda of 2005 for reference.
These two fundamental changes must wait until after 2012. If we attempt them now, it will defeat our efforts to roll back Obama's socialism.
And these cuts are not needed to bring the deficit to about 3 percent of GDP over the next three years. Block-granting Medicaid at 2008 levels (imposing a 3 percent retroactive annual allowable increase), freezing domestic discretionary spending at 2008 levels and projecting a cut to 60,000 troops deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan by 2015 will get you there without any self-inflicted political wounds.
But the central mandate for the Republicans in the House is to fight. Fight. Fight. Fight. Hold firm. Don't blink. Don't give in. This is our best chance to save our political and economic system.