Republicans realize that our entire way of life and national idea is at stake in the 2010 elections. The radicalism of the Obama agenda and the mindless complicity of House and Senate Democrats who didn't even read the bills they were passing have left a sense that America as we know it is on the line. For all the rhetoric of past years, this election is one in which our entire world hangs in the balance.
The regimented ranks of labor union members enlisted by their leaders to turn out for Democratic candidates cannot compete with the fired up intensity of the Republican grass roots. Democrats have gotten lazy and lethargic. The prolongation of the war in Afghanistan and the residual U.S. military presence in Iraq have sapped the left of its vitriol and undermined its faith in Obama. The new left groups like Moveon.org, ACORN and Americans Coming Together can't gin up the enthusiasm that they could in 2006 and 2008. They are finding it far easier to attack than to defend, and their turnout is suffering as a result.
When polls show Republicans even with their Democratic opponents, read into them that the GOP will win. Undecided voters generally go against the incumbents (usually the Democrat in the swing races of 2010), and the vast difference in voter enthusiasm will tilt these races to the Republican challengers.
Prediction: The Republicans will win the Senate, capturing seats in Indiana, Arkansas, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Washington state, Illinois and Nevada. And they could prevail in New York, Connecticut, Delaware and California, to boot.
The GOP will capture the House by a goodly margin, winning upward of 60-plus seats now held by Democrats. And it could go a lot higher!
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