In Iowa and New Hampshire — the first two tests for the presidential nominating process — Hillary Clinton is faltering badly.
When you average all the polls in Iowa, her lead has dwindled and is now eradicated:
|Hillary vs. Obama in Iowa|
|First half Nov.||28||22||+6|
|Sec half Nov.||26||28||-2|
And, Hillary has suffered an even greater slippage in New Hampshire, where the last poll, by Rasmussen, has Obama ahead by three points. Here are the averages of all the polls for these time periods:
|Hillary vs. Obama in New Hampshire|
|First half Nov.||36||23||+13|
|Sec half Nov.||34||23||+11|
But curiously, Hillary remains in the national lead and her margin has not dwindled appreciably:
|Hillary vs. Obama National|
|First half Nov.||45||23||+22|
|Sec half Nov.||45||23||+22|
Hillary Clinton is tanking and Obama is surging in New Hampshire, gaining a net of 17 points. In Iowa, Hillary is dropping and Obama is also moving up, gaining a net of nine points. But nationally, there is almost no change since November 1. Throughout the country, Obama has gained only five points in three months.
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