Debra J. Saunders

It turns out that it's easier to herd Democrats than it is to herd cats -- because Democrats heed the same powerful special interests. Big labor and big business interests could lose big if there's a regime change in Sacramento. They have made it clear that they'll deep-freeze any Dems who help the recall effort. Statewide officeholders pliantly pledged not to run for governor if there is a recall election -- even Dems who say they don't like Gumby.

But once a recall date is set, one of two scenarios likely will happen:

In the first, state Democratic Party Chairman Art Torres will have crawled on broken glass for a distance sufficient to sway Sen. Dianne Feinstein to run.

DiFi leads in the Times' July 2 poll with 25 percent of registered voters favoring her. In a crowded field, 25 percent is king. Er, queen.

The minute Feinstein announces, Davis is history.

Or, in the second: At least one statewide Democrat gets in the race, despite his promise not to. Democratic Party adviser Bob Mulholland tells me I'm wrong, but the shortest lifespan in California is that of a principle standing in the way of a Democratic victory.

State Democrats are not going to countenance a statewide ballot on which no Democrat appears. And because the Dems have so much to lose, they can impose discipline on party members to limit the field.

But what can the Republican leadership withhold -- a share of the public's scorn?

Because the Republicans have nothing to lose, they can't impose discipline and they can't win.

Debra J. Saunders

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