--If a shutdown occurs, it will not be the Republicans' fault, and we don't have to accept a narrative to the contrary. For the first time since 1974, Democrats, despite their control of Congress, did not pass a budget last year, and it is their failure that has led to all the wrangling over these continuing resolutions. Moreover, the Democrats have not acted in good faith toward our national debt crisis, particularly respecting the trillions of dollars of unfunded liabilities with our entitlements programs.
--The liberal media have lost both credibility and clout since the '90s, while the alternative media have gained in both. Also, an information explosion has occurred, making facts instantly available -- universally. Facts are on the Republicans' side.
--Obama and the Democrats have lost immeasurable popularity and credibility in the past few years, especially concerning the nation's financial health and the economy.
--Obama has been exposed for presenting recklessly erroneous information on his 10-year budget proposal (understated by $2.3 trillion) and Obamacare (understated by hundreds of billions of dollars). He has been AWOL on these budget negotiations and presented no plan for entitlement reform.
--Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., was caught saying that the Democrats' strategy was not to compromise with Republicans, but to torpedo them. Reports also surfaced that other Democratic leaders are strategizing for a shutdown because they have no authentic plan and have no ammunition against Republicans apart from demonizing them.
--Polls have shown that most people would prefer a government shutdown to Congress' failing to resolve the budget crisis. Separate polls have shown that even independents would favor a shutdown.
--What moderate conservatives fail to understand is that there is little downside to Republicans sticking to their guns but an enormous downside to their caving. The media will vilify Republicans as uncompassionate, whether or not there's a shutdown; just wait for the debate over Ryan's budget. But if Republicans breach their promise to make these cuts, there will be hell to pay with the base.
You don't defeat the Democrats by picking your battles; you fight them at every turn -- thereby gaining political capital, not using it up.
Nothing would energize the base -- and ultimately the majority of the electorate -- more than Republicans standing their ground and fighting Obama aggressively. They've tried the milquetoast approach before and been punished for it -- most recently in 2006. So, Republicans, man up and follow the blueprint.