Dave Juday

Fred Barnes showed in one of his recent columns in the Weekly Standard why he is one of Washington’s premier pundits by summing up President Obama’s performance to date thusly: “two of his stated goals (economic recovery, energy independence) are undermined by his actual policies.” A pithy and insightful observation, indeed.

When it comes to the economy, Obama does talk a mean game. But in the end, his “stimulus” and “recovery” policies will pile up more than $9 trillion in annual federal budget deficits over the next decade and lead us into a national debt that would equal 82 percent of total GDP within 10 years, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

This is not a recipe for growth. Such burdensome debt leaves the economy with a smaller stock of private capital for the future, and our current spending and borrowing binge will almost certainly lead to more taxes.

Moreover, he’s aimed much of his proposed tax burden at energy. The Obama Administration’s 2010 budget proposes $26 billion in new taxes directly on energy companies by what Obama deems as closing "unjustified tax loopholes." This is in addition to broader business taxes, some of which are specifically targeted at energy producers.

What Obama is targeting are not “loopholes” but rather standard tax treatment of the costs of doing business in the energy sector – like deducting the intangible costs of drilling, or amortizing a return on investment over the life of a well under the percentage depletion allowance, or allowing a tax credit for keeping marginal wells in production when oil prices are low. All these so-called loopholes actually add to US energy production, displace imports, and increase US energy independence.

Another significant portion of new government taxes – more than $5 billion annually - comes from a proposed excise tax levied on all oil and natural gas produced from the Gulf of Mexico, which is the source of 25 percent of the oil and 15 percent of the natural gas currently produced in the US! This is after the Obama Interior Department has delayed the release of a new leasing schedule for oil exploration offshore where more than 14 billion barrels of oil lie under federal waters.

Congress lifted the moratorium on offshore wells in October 2008; the Obama Administration won’t even consider a new leasing schedule until August 2009, and then only to start leases in 2010 at the earliest. This is certainly not a bold or meaningful step toward energy independence.

Dave Juday

Dave Juday is a commodity market analyst and principal of the Juday Group.