What should President Bush do about his declining poll numbers and when should he do it?
The numbers are not encouraging. An Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 3-5, 2005 of 1,000 adults nationwide found just 28 percent of those surveyed think the country is moving in the right direction. Sixty-six percent think it's on the wrong track. Just 40 percent think the president is handling the economy well. 58 percent disapprove of the way he's handling it. Other polls are slightly better.
The president's "overall" approval rating in this poll was just 39 percent. Fifty-eight percent of those polled disapprove of the job the president is doing.
The one area in which the president might take heart is in his handling of foreign policy issues and the war on terrorism. His approval rating in October increased to 46 percent, 3 percent higher than in September. His disapproval rating dropped from 55 percent in September to 52 percent this month. The president is in danger of losing his base, which wanted more than a Republican president. It believed it had twice elected a conservative president.
I recall a conversation I had with Bush during the 2000 campaign. Following an interview on his campaign plane, then-Governor Bush, aide Karen Hughes and I climbed into a van at the Des Moines airport. As we chatted on the way to a campaign stop, I offered some unsolicited advice: "Every president goes into a bubble. If you win, try to break out of it as often as you can." My point was that many people are drawn to power less to advance certain policies than for ego satisfaction and future job prospects. He needed contrarians on his staff and he should meet with "average" people as often as possible.
Staff members with convictions seem unable to tell the president what they think, if they differ with him, for fear it might jeopardize their access, or even their jobs. Instead, they tell him things that make him feel good. Supreme Court nominee Harriet Miers has called him the most brilliant man she has ever known.
Disgraced TV evangelist Jim Bakker told me he started going wrong when he surrounded himself with people who said what he wanted to hear. Bakker's "bubble" landed him in prison. President Bush's bubble is contributing to his declining poll numbers.
What should he do? First, he should replace those on his staff who seem to care more about him than they do about policy. If the policies are right and benefit the people, the approval and admiration will follow. But "loyalty tests" and "my president, right or wrong" is not policy. It is hero-worship and it can only blind people to policy objectives.
Cal Thomas is co-author (with Bob Beckel) of the book, "Common Ground: How to Stop the Partisan War That is Destroying America".
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